Global bond markets edged lower as inflation concerns deepened

The cost of government borrowing jumped after two surprise interest rate hikes this week provided a reality check on the fight against inflation.

Two-year interest-sensitive UK gilt bond yields rose nine basis points to 4.55% after the Bank of Canada joined the Reserve Bank of Australia in surprising markets with more rate hikes .

Bond yields – the return the government must offer buyers of its debt – rose 28 basis points in the past week, while the UK 10-year bond yield rose 13 basis points in the past week.

Treasury values ​​tumbled and yields rose across much of Asia overnight as investors reassessed inflation risks, with yields on shorter-dated U.S. Treasuries nearing their highest since March.

Their Australian equivalents have soared to levels last seen more than a decade ago.

It comes ahead of a key decision by the US Federal Reserve at its June 13-14 meeting, where traders expect the central bank of the world’s largest economy to halt its long-running program of interest rate hikes.

Colin Graham, head of multi-asset strategies at Robeco, said: “The Reserve Bank of Australia defied economists’ forecasts to raise the cash rate again this week, which could put more pressure on the European Central Bank, the US Federal Reserve , the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England.

“July expectations have already shifted from an expected decrease to an expected increase.”

Diana Yovanel, an economist at Capital Economics, said: “As inflation has proved more stubborn than we thought, we now think the central bank will keep policy higher for longer than we previously forecast.”